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A 5680-Year South America Tree-ring Temperature Record

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This paper presents a 5680-year tree-ring temperature record and demonstrates that solar forcing persistently influences temperatures at multi-centennial timescales. The study found that recent warming is not exceptional in the context of the last five millennia in southern South America. The reconstruction over 3700 BC to 2009 AD is the longest record for the Southern Hemisphere. The record shows two major warm periods of 3140 to 2800 BC and 70 BC to 150 AD, which coincide with no glacier advances. These periods also coincide with positive anomalies of solar irradiance. Spectral analysis show “show remarkable coincidences between the long-term cycles in our temperature record and the TSI reconstructions”. Reconstructed temperature changes at inter-decadal time scales is mainly related to internal climate variability of the Pacific Ocean, including El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and longer oscillations. The temperature reconstruction was adjusted to remove the CO2 fertilization effect on tree-growth for the 1800 to 2009 period.

Examination of space-based bulk atmospheric temperatures used in climate research

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This paper examines four satellite datasets producing bulk tropospheric temperatures. The satellite results indicate a range of near-global (+0.07 to +0.13°C/decade) and tropical (+0.08 to +0.17°C/decade) trends for the period 1979–2016. The paper shows that microwave units on National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s satellites (NOAA-12 and −14, 1990–2001+) contain spurious warming, especially noticeable in three of the four satellite datasets. The UAH 6.0 dataset doesn't use those satellites so it is the most accurate. Comparisons with radiosonde datasets independently adjusted for inhomogeneities and Reanalyses suggest the actual tropical (20°S-20°N) trend is +0.10 ± 0.03°C/decade, which is only 37% of the average climate model trend.

Tracing Winter Temperatures Over the Last Two Millennia

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This paper presents a winter temperature reconstruction using fjord sediments from Sweden. The temperature was determined by using a temperature sensitive isotope in small, shallow water animals. The temperatures range from 2.7 to 7.8°C. The record shows high temperatures during the Roman Warm Period, variable during the Dark Ages, high temperatures during Medieval Warm Period, cooling with multi-decadal variability during the Little Ice Age, and warming during the 20th century. The late 20th century warming “does not stand out in the 2500-year perspective and is of the same magnitude as the Roman Warm Period and the Medieval Climate Anomaly.”

Climate Variability and Lake Ecosystem Responses in Norway During the Last Millennium

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Zawiska et al 2017 presents a temperature reconstruction for the last millennium from lake sediments in Eastern Norway. The results show that summer temperatures were 4 °C warmer during some centuries than other centuries over the last millennium. The authors write “The three minor cooling periods were reconstructed in the first half of the millennium: 1050–1150, 1270–1370, 1440–1470 CE, that coincide with solar activity minima: Oort, Wolf, and Spörer respectively. Furthermore, a two peaked cooling period in the second half of the millennium was identified that coincided with the [Little Ice Age] LIA. These changes co-occurred with the prevailing negative [North Atlantic Oscillation] NAO index. … Maunder solar minimum caused a very deep negative NAO index phase during the LIA.”

The nonexistence of the Tropical Hot Spot & Invalidity of the EPA's Endangerment Finding

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The US Environmental Protection Agency's CO2 Endangerment Finding was based soley on IPCC climate models that unanimously predict that greenhouse gas warming would cause a distinctive hot spot of faster rising temperatures over the tropics. This research paper has found that when 13 temperature datasets are adjusted to account for natural ENSO effects, the tropical hot spot definitely "does not exist in the real world", which invalidates the climate models and the endangerment finding. The analysis shows that the steadily rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations have had a statistically insignificant impact on 13 critically important temperature time series once the natural ENSO affects are removed. In fact, there is no ENSO-adjusted warming at all. These natural ENSO impacts involve both changes in solar activity and the 1977 Pacific Shift.

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